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    Thursday, September 16, 2021

    Age of Empires II Red Bull Wololo V Enthrone Prediction Contest Day 4

    Age of Empires II Red Bull Wololo V Enthrone Prediction Contest Day 4


    Red Bull Wololo V Enthrone Prediction Contest Day 4

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 02:06 PM PDT

    Red Bull Wololo V Enthrone Prediction Contest Day 4

    Day 3 of the group stage was the first day where the majority of people predicted the correct player to win in every set. Most sets were already predicted to be very one sided with over 80% of people guessing for the favourite. The only exception was TheViper vs Liereyy, which had a 58/42 split in favour of Liereyy, despite TheVipers strong performance against Hera a day earlier.

    This resulted in a lot of players getting full points and the best predictor is still on top and got a perfect prediction again.

    https://preview.redd.it/xrkziolwdqn71.png?width=1814&format=png&auto=webp&s=6e435e249a3bf6b9c1494a704a602cee6968e75e

    You can now enter your predictions for the final day of the Group stage: https://forms.gle/fT1EUdXfwwbhaR3BA

    submitted by /u/nimanoe
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    Redbull Wololo 5 Day 4 Discussion Thread

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 02:19 AM PDT

    Matches for today, Thursday 16 September 2021:

    • Barles vs Nicov | Nicov Victory, 2-0 |

    • dogao vs slam | slam Victory, 2-1 |

    • TaToH vs DauT | DauT Victory, 2-1 |

    • Villese vs Vinchester

    • Hera vs Capoch

    • TheViper vs MbL

    • Liereyy vs JorDan_AoE


    Group Stage Standings (end of day 3):

    Rank Player Matches Games Points
    1. JorDan_AoE 3-0 6-1 4p
    2. Liereyy 3-0 6-2 4p
    3. TheViper 2-1 5-4 6p
    4. Hera 2-1 5-3 5p
    5. Capoch 2-1 4-4 5p
    6. TaToH 2-1 5-3 4p
    7. MbL 2-1 4-3 4p
    8. DauT 1-2 4-4 5p
    9. Vinchester 1-2 3-4 5p
    10. Villese 1-2 3-5 5p
    11. dogao 1-2 3-5 4p
    12. slam 1-2 3-4 3p
    13. Nicov 0-3 2-6 5p
    14. Barles 0-3 1-6 4p

    Note: Points column denotes the Buchholz score, calculated as the sum of wins one player's opponents got.


    Where to watch:


    Format:

    All following stages will be held in person at the location in Heidelberg, Germany

    • Group Stage: September 13th - 16th
    • Swiss-system format (4 rounds)
    • All matches are Bo3
    • Top 8 players advance to the playoffs

    Tiebreaker rules:

    1. Buchholz score

    2. Head to Head results

    3. Number of map wins


    More Information:

    submitted by /u/keaton_au
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    "Have ye breached thy palisade walls?" "Ney, sir. Those three sparse palm trees are impenetrable."

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 01:41 AM PDT

    Okay, which one of you nerds did this?

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 08:13 PM PDT

    Villager pathing improved

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 06:14 AM PDT

    Two villagers on berries, gathering food for dinner 11. Just an awesome tournament Redbull Wololo 5

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 10:24 PM PDT

    when you reach top notch in AoE2 casting

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 05:07 AM PDT

    RBW5 - Players road to qualification

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 05:19 AM PDT

    Hello reddit,

    There is 7 matches today, for a total of 2^7 = 128 possibilities of different outcome. I created a program that would analyse each outcome to see where players could finish once the qualification stage is over.

    There is a limitation to my program : I don't consider map wins. I only take the number of victories and the bucholz score.

    At the end of the day, 1 player will be 4-0, 3 or 4 will be 3-1, 4 or 6 will be 2-2, 3 or 4 will be 1-3 and 1 will be 0-4.

    Every 4-0 will qualify, every 3-1 will qualify and 3 out of the 4 2-2 or 4 out of the 6 2-2 will qualify.

    Liereyy and Jordan

    They are both certain to qualify with either 4-0 or 3-1.

    Hera

    If he wins, he's in. But if he loses, he could be in a 3-way tie in only 1 scenario.

    Viper

    He is in whatever happens.

    Capoch

    He is in whatever happens.

    Tatoh

    If he wins, he's in. If he loses, it could be hard for Tatoh. If 2 of his 3 previous opponents wins, his chances are clearly higher. If both Tatoh and Hera wins, Tatoh has 75% chances of qualifying. If Hera wins and Dogao or Villese, he is pretty much in.

    MBL

    If he wins, he's in. If he loses, his chances are still pretty high. If Liereyy wins, he's pretty much in. It's also the case for Slam and Barles. If MBL loses, he needs a victory by one of his previous opponents.

    Daut

    He needs a win. Even if he wins, he still needs a victory from one of his previous opponents.

    Vinch

    He needs a win. If he wins, he is in about 75%.

    Villese

    If he wins, he is in about 75%

    Dogao

    If he wins, its a toss up.

    Slam

    Out

    Nicov and Barles

    They are out.

    There can be 2-way ties at the 8th position. Its hapening in 35 out of the 128 scenarios. One thing to note is that if you have 2 victories, having 6 bucholz score pretty much certifies you the qualification. 7 is always in.

    I figured people would be interested in seeing the data, so here it is : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bJ1_BtJUTHVyZCkuQBtYj34i1wT8MYOMGdwoP1yIAE8/edit?usp=sharing

    Have a great day of RBW5

    submitted by /u/SamuelGauvreau
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    Overview of the set

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 12:00 PM PDT

    Wow

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 05:51 AM PDT

    Just wow. Day 4 off to a good start!

    submitted by /u/StarWolf999
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    Learning from the Lord himself

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 08:30 AM PDT

    Calculation of who can qualify today

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 04:32 AM PDT

    I calculated the 128 possible outcomes of today's matches. For each player, this is how many of those results qualify them to the top 8:

    Liereyy 128
    JorDan_AoE 128
    TheViper 128
    Hera 128
    Capoch 128
    MbL 126
    TaToH 96
    DauT 60
    Vinchester 54
    Villese 41
    dogao 6
    slam 1
    Nicov 0
    Barles 0

    Disclaimers:

    - It doesn't take into account the last two tiebreakers ("Head to Head results" and "Difference between map wins and losses")

    - I haven't tested it too much so it can be very wrong... (code is here: https://stackblitz.com/edit/node-yyyjzb)

    submitted by /u/pomber
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    I'm supporting the lord. Who are you supporting?

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 08:10 AM PDT

    11

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 07:38 PM PDT

    7/10 silverboi

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 11:53 AM PDT

    This is the best overlay I have ever seen

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 11:20 AM PDT

    RBW5 - town bell rings in real life!

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 07:58 AM PDT

    RBW 5 player ratings

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 01:56 AM PDT

    Gentlemen and gentiles, can you please point me in the direction of a page that shows the RB player ratings. They keep popping it up on stream but I can't find a page that shows a summary… 30

    submitted by /u/macni451
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    2v2 on nomad map, what are the chances?

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 05:27 PM PDT

    Finnish ”middleclass meme account” using Nili in a draft beer meme

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 10:00 AM PDT

    Fun Times with 9x tech mod

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 12:38 AM PDT

    So im around 850 elo and I was bored today so I decided to do a 1 vs 7 extreme AI challenge. I used the SE 9x tech mod, put the starting age as imperial, amazon tunnel, 500 pop, infinite resources, and the most important part…. played as Mongols. Why Mongols? well they get the unique tech Drill which makes your siege 40% faster. Sooooo when you research Drill 9x, your siege rams move faster than a cobra car and destroy buildings faster. This was so satisfying to watch them just come in to 7 AI Cities and just level the cities. Throw 200 mangudai in there to kill units to make sure you can clean up the units after the production buildings are all destroyed.

    This wont help you be a better player but if you ever just want to see something funny give it a go. The Mangudai's arrows are also sooo funny to see when 400-500 of them start shooting.

    submitted by /u/SirFunkytonThe3rd
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    Where's Masmora in Redbull 5?

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 07:45 AM PDT

    He's listed as the interviewer on Liquipedia and I thought I saw him on day 1 of the event interviewing players after their sets but the casters have been doing that the last couple of days.

    submitted by /u/zacktalsma
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    The Need for Speed in the Age of Empires

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 06:53 AM PDT

    Enemy took refuge in my town, but after I realized they were hiding all their villagers, I had to build a prison

    Posted: 16 Sep 2021 12:32 AM PDT

    The best day of the tournament:Day 3

    Posted: 15 Sep 2021 12:11 PM PDT

    The production quality, the games , the banter and the best duo Dave and Nili. Thank you redbull for hosting this tournament. I'll always be in your debt for hosting such a wonderful and the best aoe 2 tournament till date.

    submitted by /u/cookieongo
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